Category: Macro & Economy
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The Week in Markets: The First Hike Since 2023 (18 September 2026)
The Fed hiked for the first time since 2023, the 10-year broke 5 per cent for the first time since 2007, AI stocks sold off on the industry’s own calls to slow down, the Gulf war reached Saudi infrastructure, and a family office wrote the season’s biggest premium. The week in markets, in five stories.
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The Week in Markets: The ECB Moves First and the Fed Odds Hit 87 Per Cent (11 September 2026)
CPI held at 3.4 per cent on a cooling core, the ECB hiked into its oil shock, the US-Canada trade war went kinetic, the Treasury tripled its buybacks, and the Saudi pipeline that bypasses Hormuz went dark. The week in markets, in five stories.
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The Week in Markets: 162,000 Jobs and a $26.5 Billion Reality Check (4 September 2026)
Payrolls tripled forecasts and revived the September hike, Shein listed at a quarter of its former valuation, Broadcom’s record quarter was sold anyway, and private equity found two exit doors. The week in markets, in five stories.
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August Jobs Report: 162,000 Jobs and the Revision That Erased the Slowdown
The August jobs report delivered 162,000 jobs, triple the forecast, and revised away July’s decline, pushing September Fed hike odds to 60 per cent.
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The Week in Markets: Nvidia Delivers, the Hike Returns and a $50 Billion Deal Dies (29 August 2026)
Nvidia’s $96 billion quarter broke its post-earnings curse, hot PCE and Warsh’s Jackson Hole warning put a September hike back to a coin toss, PayPal’s $53 billion buyout died, wheat hit two-year highs and gold tested $4,700. The week in markets, in five stories.
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China’s July Stall: Retail Sales at 0.6% and an Investment Contraction That Keeps Deepening
China’s July data missed across the board: retail sales grew 0.6 per cent against 1.5 expected, industrial production slowed and investment contracted 6.7 per cent. Inside the balance-sheet recession behind the numbers, the deflation China exports, and what would change the story.
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The Week in Markets: Records, a Blockade and a Consumer Wobble (14 August 2026)
The S&P 500 topped 7,800, the Russell 2000 set its 27th record of the year, the US said its Iran blockade can run indefinitely, and July retail sales posted their biggest fall in over a year. The week in markets, in five stories.
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July Retail Sales Fall 0.6%: The Month the US Consumer Joined the Slowdown
US retail sales fell 0.6 per cent in July, the largest monthly drop in over a year, days after the first payrolls contraction in 53 months. Inside the breakdown, the Prime Day distortion, the control group that fell anyway, and what the sequence means for the Fed.
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UK Q2 GDP Growth: The World Cup Quarter That Business Services Won
The UK grew 0.4 per cent in the second quarter and the headlines credited the World Cup and the heatwave. The ONS said no such thing. Inside a quarter driven by computer programming, advertising and R&D, while pubs and restaurants shrank.
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The Week in Markets: The Melt-Up Meets a Shrinking Jobs Market (7 August 2026)
Records on Tuesday, a negative payrolls print on Friday: the week the melt-up met a shrinking jobs market. Amazon at $3 trillion, Palantir’s 93 per cent quarter, the first joint yen intervention in over a decade, and the Fed starting to count private credit.